| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,360.24 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the specific price target of $70,360.24 within a defined 15-minute interval. Short-window milestone markets matter because they capture intraday momentum events that can trigger liquidations, algorithmic responses, and rapid shifts in trader positioning.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but intraday-volatile asset; 15-minute windows emphasize microstructure, order-book depth, and immediate news flow rather than longer-term fundamentals. Markets like this are shaped by exchange liquidity, derivatives positioning, and real-time flows onto or off of trading venues; KALSHI is the listed source and the market’s close and settlement mechanics are specified by the platform.
Prediction market prices summarize traders’ collective assessment of whether the target will be reached in the specified window and update as new information arrives. Use them as a real-time signal of market sentiment and event risk, not as a guaranteed outcome.
It denotes that resolution depends on whether Bitcoin’s price reaches the target during a single 15-minute interval. The exact start and end timestamps for that interval are set by the market operator and will be listed on the event page.
Settlement typically depends on a trade or published index print at or above the target price within the designated 15-minute window, according to the market’s published settlement rules; consult the event details for the operator’s precise definition.
The market will use the reference price feed or exchange/index specified by the platform’s settlement rules. Check the event page or contract specifications on KALSHI for the exact price source and any fallback mechanisms.
It means the exact trading close and the scheduled 15-minute resolution window have not yet been published. Traders should monitor the market listing for the announced close/resolution timestamps before entering positions.
Historical intraday volatility shows that sizable moves can and do occur within 15 minutes, especially around low-liquidity periods or news. Use historical 15-minute ranges, order-book snapshots, and event calendars to assess how plausible a short-window breach of this level would be, while remembering that past intraday behavior is not a guarantee of future moves.