| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,332.60 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's traded price will meet the $70,332.60 target during a specific 15‑minute observation window on Kalshi. It matters because it lets traders take a short‑term, event‑based position tied to Bitcoin's spot behavior at a defined time.
Short‑duration price targets like a 15‑minute window are used for quick directional bets and volatility plays; Bitcoin's history of intraday swings makes these contracts attractive to traders seeking time‑bound exposure. The market is hosted on Kalshi, so resolution will follow that platform's published rules; the page currently shows zero reported volume and the closing/observation time is listed as TBD, so details may be updated before trading begins.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of participants and update as new information arrives; they are best read as a dynamic market consensus rather than a fixed forecast. For authoritative settlement details and any edge cases, consult the market's resolution text and Kalshi's rulebook.
Resolution depends on the market's specific rules: '15 min' indicates an observation period of that duration, but the exact start and end timestamps, sampling method (snapshot vs. average), and settlement time will be specified on the Kalshi market page or in the platform rulebook. Because the market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the official listing for the confirmed observation window and settlement timetable.
The authoritative reference feed or exchange is declared on the Kalshi market page or in its resolution text; if the market page does not list it, Kalshi's published rules define the official data source and any fallback hierarchy. Always confirm the referenced feed before trading this contract.
That depends on Kalshi's chosen settlement method for this contract — some markets settle on a single timestamp snapshot, others on an average or on any touch within the window. The market's resolution language and the platform's tie‑breaker rules describe whether an intrawindow touch qualifies and how ambiguous cases are handled.
It means there are no recorded trades yet for this market, implying low liquidity and limited price discovery; initial orders may face wide spreads and difficulty exiting positions until other participants enter. Traders should review order book depth, position sizing, and the market's fee and settlement terms before committing.
Kalshi's contingency procedures and dispute resolution provisions govern such cases: the platform may switch to a pre‑specified fallback feed, use an alternative timestamp, or apply an adjudication process per its rulebook. Review the market documentation and Kalshi's contingency policy to understand how outages or data anomalies will be handled.