| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,284.06 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the specific price target of $70,284.06 during a defined 15-minute observation interval. It matters because minute-scale price-target markets isolate very short-term volatility and can signal trader expectations about immediate price moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose minute-to-minute price action is driven by a mix of exchange order flow, derivatives positioning, macro headlines, and on-chain flows. Short-window targets like this capture the interaction of high-frequency trading, large block orders, and events such as options expiries or sudden news releases that can produce rapid price swings. Because the market closes and resolves based on a specific 15-minute window, timing and the chosen price reference are crucial.
Market odds represent the crowd’s current consensus about whether the $70,284.06 level will be hit within the specified 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Treat odds as a real-time signal of market-implied likelihood, not as a guarantee; read the market rules to understand exact settlement criteria.
It asks whether Bitcoin's price, according to the market's designated price source, will reach the specified $70,284.06 level at any point during the defined 15-minute observation interval; consult the market rules for whether the condition is 'equals or exceeds' and which price metric is used.
The 15-minute window is a continuous interval defined in the market's schedule and displayed on the platform; because this market's close time is listed as TBD, check the market page or official announcements for the exact start/end times and time zone before trading.
Settlement uses the price feed or index specified in the market's resolution rules on KALSHI; that could be a consolidated spot index or a specific exchange's trade prints — always verify the listed reference price source in the event details.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the event's settlement definition (e.g., any trade at or above the target, best bid/ask, or index value); many short-window markets count any qualifying trade or index tick during the window, but confirm the exact rule on the event page.
Resolution occurs after the designated observation window ends and follows KALSHI's published settlement procedures; if there are anomalous prints or data feed issues, the platform's dispute and arbitration rules govern resolution — review those procedures in the market documentation.