| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,014.90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will meet the $70,014.90 threshold within a specified 15-minute window on KALSHI; it matters because hitting a short-term price target can trigger trading, risk-management actions, and inform short-horizon sentiment.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move sharply in very short periods due to order flow, news, or derivatives activity. Fifteen-minute target markets isolate very short-term directional bets and are sensitive to microstructure, exchange-specific prints, and immediate newsflow rather than long-term fundamentals.
Prediction market odds for this event represent the collective view of participants about whether the target will be achieved during the 15-minute window; prices move with new information, liquidity, and traders' risk preferences and should be read as a real-time aggregator of those signals rather than a fixed forecast.
Resolution will be based on whether the market's defined reference price meets the $70,014.90 threshold during the contract's specified 15-minute window; the market page and KALSHI's settlement rules will state the authoritative source and exact resolution logic.
The closing/resolution timing is listed as TBD on the event page; KALSHI will publish the exact 15-minute window or settlement time prior to or at market close—monitor the market page and official notices for the definitive schedule.
The event will use the price feed specified in the market's settlement details on KALSHI (a single exchange or an aggregated index); if the feed is not explicit on the summary, consult the official market rules or contact KALSHI support for the authoritative source.
Different contracts use different definitions (e.g., any tick within the interval, minute-by-minute prints, or an interval average); check this market's resolution criteria to know whether a single tick that reaches the level is sufficient or whether an averaging/closing rule applies.
Zero reported volume means no trades have occurred yet, which implies limited liquidity and potentially wide spreads; 'Number of outcomes: 1' likely reflects that this is a single-target contract with a single resolution condition—review the market format and liquidity before placing any position.