| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,560.78 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's price will satisfy the specified $69,560.78 target during a designated 15‑minute measurement window. Short, time‑boxed price targets matter because they capture extreme intraday volatility and are useful for traders and hedgers reacting to near‑term moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile crypto asset whose intraday swings can be driven by news, large orders, and derivative market dynamics. Targets near round or recent high levels often attract concentrated attention from algorithmic traders, market makers, and retail participants. Because the event is a single 15‑minute window, outcomes tend to hinge on short‑term flow rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds on the platform represent the aggregated, real‑time view of participants about whether the settlement condition will be met; they move as new information arrives. Treat quoted prices as dynamic market sentiment indicators, not fixed probabilities, and consult the event's official rules for final settlement definitions.
It measures whether Bitcoin's price meets the event's specified settlement condition relative to $69,560.78 within a single 15‑minute measurement window; the event's official rules define the precise price source and qualifying condition, so consult the event page for the exact settlement language.
The start time for the 15‑minute window will be posted on the event page or in the market's metadata on KALSHI; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', the explicit window will be announced by the platform prior to trading or as part of event updates.
The event's settlement rules specify the reference price feed or exchange that KALSHI will use; check the event details for that designation because different markets may rely on a single exchange feed, a composite index, or a platform‑specific feed.
If a disruption occurs, the platform's contingency procedures apply: settlement may be delayed, an alternate approved feed may be used, or other remedies in the event rules may be applied; review KALSHI's dispute and force‑majeure provisions for specifics.
Whether a single touch, multiple touches, or a closing price is required depends on the event's exact resolution wording; many time‑window markets resolve if the qualifying price condition is met at any time during the window, but you should verify the precise criterion in the event's settlement terms.