| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,494.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at the specific price target of $69,494.95 during a designated 15-minute interval; it matters because very short-duration targets test immediate price dynamics and liquidity. Traders use such markets to express views on intraday moves and to hedge or speculate on short-lived events.
This is a short-interval, price-specific contract listed on KALSHI in the crypto category; because the close time is TBD and volume is currently zero, the market appears newly posted or not yet active. Historical context: 15-minute targets are sensitive to exchange-level prints, order-book events, and news flow, so past examples show rapid swings around major macro announcements or large on-chain transfers. Participants should note that settlement rules and the reference price feed determine whether a transient tick satisfies the target.
Market odds reflect participants' aggregated expectations about whether the target price will occur during the specified 15-minute window and update as new information arrives. Interpret them as the market's real-time consensus signal about short-term price risk, not as guarantees.
It indicates the contract refers to a specific 15-minute time window during which Bitcoin must trade at the listed target price; the market resolves based on the price behavior inside that discrete interval as defined by the event's settlement rules.
Settlement depends on the event's published reference price source and timestamping—check the KALSHI event details for which exchange or composite feed is used and the exact definition of a qualifying trade or print that satisfies the target.
The close and resolution schedule are set by the listing issuer; monitor the KALSHI event page for updates or official notices that specify the closing time and the 15-minute interval used for resolution.
Whether a single tick suffices or sustained trading is required depends on the contract's settlement definition—some markets count any print at the target during the window, others require the reference price to equal the target at a particular timestamp—consult the event rules on KALSHI.
A $0 volume indicates no trades have occurred yet on this contract; early quotes often reflect limited liquidity and can change quickly as participants enter orders or new information emerges, so early pricing may be more volatile and less informative than later trading.