| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,474.97 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's market price meets the $69,474.97 target within a specific 15-minute measurement window defined by the contract. Short, fixed-window contracts matter because they isolate immediate intraday price moves and microstructure-driven events.
Fifteen-minute BTC contracts capture very short-term volatility and are driven mainly by order-book dynamics, large trades, and breaking news rather than long-term fundamentals. On intraday timeframes, liquidity, algorithmic traders, derivatives activity, and exchange-specific quotes can produce rapid swings that determine an outcome. The event is hosted on KALSHI and will resolve according to the platform's published timestamp and designated price feed.
Market odds on this contract represent the aggregated view of traders about whether the target will be met during the specified 15-minute window; they are a real-time consensus measure that can shift quickly as new information or liquidity arrives.
The contract resolves based on a specific 15-minute interval and a designated price source or index; the exact start and end timestamps and which exchanges or index are used are specified on KALSHI's event page and resolution rules.
The event's rule text explains whether the target must be equaled, exceeded, or met by an index value at the resolution time and whether ties or short-lived ticks qualify—review the event details for inclusivity and tie-breaking criteria.
The event currently lists a close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close and resolution timestamp in the contract details before trading or settlement, and resolution will follow that published schedule.
Zero volume indicates no trades have yet executed on the market; that can imply limited liquidity and potentially wide bid-ask spreads, so traders should consider execution risk and the possibility of moving the market when placing orders.
Resolution procedures for outages or data-feed problems are governed by KALSHI's rulebook; typical remedies include using alternate feeds, delaying resolution, or applying predefined contingency rules—check the platform's resolution policy for specifics.