| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,462.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or cross the $69,462.00 level within a specific 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short, abrupt moves to a precise price level capture extreme short-term volatility and are useful for very short-term hedging and sentiment signals.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose intraday price can be driven by large orders, news, macro releases, and technical liquidity gaps. Short-duration, single-price targets like this often resolve based on a specific exchange or index feed and can be influenced by microstructure effects (order-book depth, exchange outages, or aggressive market orders). For exact resolution mechanics and any applicable timestamps, consult the market’s official rules on the KALSHI page.
Odds on this market reflect the aggregated views of traders about the chance of Bitcoin touching that price within the designated 15-minute window and can shift rapidly as new information arrives. Treat the quoted odds as a live market signal, not a long-term forecast.
The 15-minute measurement is defined in the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI; it typically refers to a contiguous 15-minute interval or a specific 15-minute candle relative to a timestamp specified by the contract. Check the event page for the precise start/stop timestamps and any timezone or exchange-feed conventions.
Settlement uses the reference price feed or index specified in the market rules on KALSHI, which may be a single exchange or a consolidated index; always verify the designated data source and any fallback procedures on the market’s documentation.
A 'TBD' close means the contract’s resolution window or listing duration has not been finalized; KALSHI will publish the closing/resolution timing on the market page when set, and traders should monitor that page for updates before placing trades.
Short-term catalysts include large market orders or liquidations, breaking macro or crypto news released within the window, sudden on-chain exchange flows, or technical order-book imbalances that remove liquidity near that price level.
Confirm the market’s resolution rules, data source, and scheduled time window; assess market liquidity and bid-ask spreads on KALSHI; account for fees and the potential for rapid odds movement; and remember that settlement depends on the exact timing and reference feed defined by the contract.