| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,425.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price target of $69,425.01 within a specified 15-minute measurement period. It matters to traders and observers who want to express or monitor expectations about very short-term price moves around a precise level.
Bitcoin frequently shows rapid intraday swings that can push prices toward or through precise targets in short windows; markets like this capture those high-frequency dynamics. Short-window target markets are sensitive to immediate order flow, liquidity and news, and their settlement details are governed by the platform’s published rules.
Market prices (odds) on this event reflect aggregated trader expectations and available information about the chance Bitcoin will hit that exact level during the 15-minute window; they update in real time and should be read as collective market sentiment rather than guarantees.
Settlement depends on the platform’s event rule: typically it will declare the market 'yes' if the specified settlement price source registers the target price during the defined 15-minute measurement period, but you must consult the event page for the precise inclusion rule (e.g., ≥, >, or an averaging method).
The start time of the 15-minute window and the market close are set by the event schedule published on the platform; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check the event page for the announced start/close times and any subsequent updates.
The event’s settlement will use the price source(s) named in the event rules on the platform; consult the event details to see which exchange(s) or consolidated index Kalshi will use and how timestamps are aligned.
That depends on the settlement criterion: if the market counts any tick at or above the target within the window, a brief touch would typically qualify; if settlement uses an averaged price or closing value, a brief touch may not count—refer to the event’s settlement definition.
Orders placed immediately before the window, news releases, algorithmic trading, or large liquidations can create spikes or gaps that affect whether the target is reached; because the window is short, even small flows or a single large order can determine the outcome.