| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,343.84 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin (BTC) will meet a specific price target at a designated 15-minute timestamp; it matters because short-interval price targets capture high-frequency volatility and trader expectations about near-term moves.
Short-interval BTC markets reflect the interplay of spot liquidity, derivatives positioning, and real-time news flows; historically, 15-minute resolution markets can flip quickly on order-flow imbalances, exchange events, or macro headlines. Because this market has a single outcome and a TBD close/resolution time, participants should monitor the event page and the source (KALSHI) for the precise settlement window and any rule updates.
Market odds are an expression of current participant demand and how traders are pricing the chance that BTC will meet the target at the specified 15-minute timestamp; interpret changes in odds as shifting market expectations and not as guaranteed forecasts.
The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price as measured by the market's specified reference at the designated 15-minute timestamp; consult the KALSHI event description for whether the condition is met at, above, or below the target and for precise settlement rules.
The market's close and the exact 15-minute resolution window are listed on the event page and are currently TBD; watch the KALSHI event page for timestamps and any updates that specify when trading stops and when settlement will be evaluated.
KALSHI uses its stated reference price methodology for settlement (often an aggregated feed or a named index); the event page and market rules describe the exact data source and tie-break procedures—review those documents for authoritative details.
Zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity and that market prices may move substantially on small orders; low-volume markets can exhibit wide bid-ask spreads and be more sensitive to single trades, so account for execution risk and price impact when participating.
Settlement follows the market's specified price source and timestamp; a short-lived spike or exchange anomaly can decide the outcome if it affects the reference price at the resolution time, and dispute or override procedures (if any) are defined in the platform's market rules—check those rules for how anomalies are handled.