| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $69,025.37 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the price target of $69,025.37 during a specified 15‑minute time window; outcomes like this matter to traders who hedge or speculate on short, high‑magnitude intraday moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move quickly in response to order flow, macroeconomic releases, or crypto‑specific news. Intraday target contracts isolate short windows of price action, so historical context (recent volatility, order book depth, and nearby scheduled events) matters more than long‑term trends. At the time of listing this market, the contract shows no recorded trading volume and its closing time is listed as TBD, so participants should confirm the official settlement rules and timing on the platform.
Market prices on this contract reflect collective participant expectations about whether BTC will hit the specified price within the 15‑minute window and will update as new information arrives. Liquidity, bid/ask spreads, and the platform's settlement rules affect how those market prices should be interpreted for trading and risk management.
It means the contract will be settled based on whether Bitcoin reaches the specified price within a single 15‑minute window defined by the platform; precise settlement logic (start/end timestamps, inclusive rules, and which price feed is used) is determined by the event's official terms, so check the platform's settlement details for this market.
The platform (KALSHI) specifies the reference price feed for each contract; commonly this is a consolidated exchange index or a specified exchange ticker—consult the event page or contract specifications to see the exact source used for settlement.
That depends on the settlement methodology: some contracts count any trade or quote that meets or exceeds the target at any sampled timestamp, while others use discrete minute bars or end‑of‑interval pricing. Review the market's settlement rules to know which sampling rule applies.
'Closes: TBD' indicates the platform has not yet fixed the contract's trading close or the specific 15‑minute window; trading availability and final settlement window will be set by the platform before the contract becomes active, so wait for the platform to publish the close/time details before planning trades.
Watch real‑time order book depth and large trades on major exchanges, scheduled macroeconomic announcements and crypto‑specific news, sudden on‑chain flows to or from exchanges, and changes in implied volatility or derivatives order flow (e.g., large option/ futures positioning) that typically precede intraday price moves; also ensure you monitor the same reference feed used for settlement to avoid timestamp mismatches.