| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,899.46 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will satisfy the contract's $68,899.46 price condition during a specified 15-minute window; it matters because short, high-resolution price targets test intraday volatility and order-flow dynamics.
The contract is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and an open/undetermined close time, so there may be limited liquidity and an unclear settlement window until the market's rules are finalized. Short-interval BTC targets are influenced by rapid price moves from news, liquidations, and high-frequency trading rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds on this contract reflect traders' collective assessment of whether the contract's precise price condition will be met within the 15-minute window; review the market's settlement specification to interpret what outcome constitutes a win.
It asks whether Bitcoin will meet the contract's specified price condition at any time (or according to the contract's rule) during the defined 15-minute resolution window — consult the market details to see whether the condition is 'at or above', 'at or below', or an exact match.
The start and end timestamps for the 15-minute window are set by the market's settlement rules; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check the official market page or KALSHI's resolution rules for the definitive interval and any publishing schedule.
Resolution depends on the price source specified in the contract (for example a specific exchange, an aggregated index, or a published feed); review the contract's settlement source on the market page to know which feed will be authoritative.
That depends on the contract's measurement rule — some markets count any trade that meets the threshold during the window, while others use time-weighted averages or snapshot prices — so verify the settlement method in the market specifications.
Only price behavior inside the defined 15-minute resolution window matters for this contract; moves that occur outside that interval do not directly affect whether this specific market resolves as yes or no.