| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,847.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's quoted market price will reach the $68,847.40 level during a specified 15-minute measurement interval on KALSHI. Short-duration target markets matter because they isolate ultra-short-term price dynamics and liquidity around a specific price level.
Bitcoin is known for rapid intraday moves driven by news, order-book imbalances, derivative liquidations, and concentrated flows from large holders. Similar sub-hour spikes have occurred around macro announcements, exchange outages, or sudden large trades, so short-window targets can be met or missed quickly. The event’s resolution depends on KALSHI’s stated reference price feed and timing rules.
Market quotes on this contract represent the consensus of traders about the likelihood of the $68,847.40 level being reached in the relevant 15-minute window, not a guarantee. Use the contract price as a snapshot of market expectations and available liquidity rather than a precise prediction of future price moves.
Resolution depends on the event’s official rules on KALSHI; generally it requires the platform’s chosen reference price to equal or exceed $68,847.40 at some point during the defined 15-minute measurement interval. Consult the event terms for whether quotes, trades, or consolidated ticks are used.
The event page or contract terms on KALSHI specify the official reference feed or exchange(s). If the source is not obvious on the listing, check the detailed rules or contact KALSHI support because different events use different feeds or consolidated indices.
The start and end of the 15-minute interval are defined in the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI—intervals may be aligned to clock times or to a specific timestamp. Verify the exact timing, timezone, and any alignment rules on the event page before trading.
That depends on the settlement criteria in the event terms: some contracts accept any trade or quote at or above the level within the window, while others may require a sustained price or consolidated-feed confirmation. Review the resolution methodology on KALSHI to know which ticks count.
Low on-platform volume can produce wider bid–ask spreads and more volatile market prices for the contract, and it may be easier for large external trades to affect the underlying BTC price. Traders should be aware that low liquidity can make entry and exit more costly and can amplify slippage.