| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,841.19 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or through $68,841.19 during a specified 15‑minute window. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate intraday liquidity and microstructure risk that can differ from longer-term forecasts.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose minute-to-minute price can move on concentrated orders, liquidations, or breaking news. Short-window targets reflect a mix of macro drivers (news, macro data, policy), exchange order-book dynamics, and activity from derivatives desks and large holders. Markets like this let traders express views about very short-term execution risk and event-driven moves.
Prediction market prices here reflect the collective view of traders about whether that precise 15‑minute event will occur; they update as new information arrives. Treat market odds as a real‑time signal, not investment advice, and consult the exchange’s resolution rules for exact settlement mechanics.
It asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or through the specified dollar level during a single, contiguous 15‑minute measurement window defined by the market. Consult the market rules on KALSHI for the precise resolution definition.
The window is a contiguous 15‑minute interval determined by the market operator; the exact start time and resolution procedure (including time zone and clock source) are specified in the market’s rulebook on KALSHI. Check the event page or official rules for the scheduled window.
KALSHI uses a designated reference price or index and specific data feeds for resolution; the event’s settlement FAQ or market rules list the exact data sources and how they are aggregated for this market.
Typically a trade at or through the target on the official reference feed during the defined window will count, but the official resolution rules define whether a single tick, aggregated price, or quote is required—always verify the market’s settlement criteria.
Total volume $0 indicates no trades have executed yet on this market, so current liquidity is zero; 'Number of outcomes: 1' indicates a single outcome market (i.e., the market resolves based on whether that one event occurs). Both can change as traders begin to place orders.