| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,713.82 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market concerns whether Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the specified price target of $68,713.82 within the 15-minute interval defined by the contract. It matters to traders who want to hedge or speculate on very short-term BTC price moves and to anyone monitoring intraday volatility.
Short-duration targets like a 15-minute price window focus on intraday volatility rather than longer-term trend fundamentals. Such outcomes can be driven by microstructure events (order-book imbalances, large block trades), scheduled macro or crypto-specific news, and activity from derivatives markets. The contract is listed on KALSHI and will resolve according to the platform's published price-source and settlement rules.
Market odds on this page represent the collective market view and available liquidity at any given moment and will move as new information arrives; they are not guarantees. Traders should read the event's resolution criteria to understand exactly what price feed and timestamp determine settlement.
The contract will specify the start and end time of the 15-minute measurement period and whether settlement uses a single timestamp, an average (VWAP), or another methodology; consult the event's resolution criteria on the platform to see the exact interval definition.
The event's resolution criteria list the designated price source or index that KALSHI will use; check the event page for the named feed, as settlement follows that specified source rather than all exchanges.
'Closes: TBD' means a final market close time has not been set on the event page; trading may continue until the platform posts a close or until the trigger period occurs. Monitor the event page for updates and any posted deadline or clarification from the platform.
Resolution follows the platform's rules for anomalies: that may include using the official feed as published, applying outlier filters, or invoking manual review procedures. Review the event's settlement policy to understand how anomalous trades are treated.
Consider Bitcoin's history of sharp intraday swings around macro announcements and large exchange flows, the tendency for thin liquidity to magnify moves during off-hours, and how derivatives-driven liquidations have produced rapid price spikes or drops in short windows.