| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,521.13 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet the $68,521.13 target in a defined 15‑minute interval; it matters because intraday price targets capture short-term volatility and can affect traders using leverage or executing time‑sensitive strategies.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move quickly in response to macroeconomic data, on‑chain flows, order‑book imbalances, and major news. Markets that focus on short time windows (like 15 minutes) highlight the potential for rapid spikes or drops that may not be visible in longer timeframes. Source: KALSHI; total reported volume is $0 and the market close time is currently listed as TBD.
Prediction market odds are an evolving aggregation of participants' beliefs about whether the specified 15‑minute condition will be met; use them as a real‑time signal that updates with news and order flow rather than as a fixed forecast.
The market's official resolution rules on KALSHI define the authoritative method. Settlement typically refers to the designated price feed or exchange data during the specified 15‑minute window; whether a single trade print, a tick at that price, or a candle close is required will be spelled out in those rules.
The market specification on KALSHI will state the exact start/end times or the convention used (for example UTC‑aligned intervals or a specific start timestamp). Because this event shows 'TBD' for close, monitor the market page for updates to the scheduled window.
KALSHI's market page and settlement rules identify the authoritative data source or consolidated feed used for resolution. Different feeds can show different prints at sub‑minute resolution, so the named source on the market page is the final reference.
Whether a momentary print counts depends on the data feed's timestamping and the event's rule about acceptable prints versus aggregated candles. Consult the market's resolution methodology for details about tick granularity and what constitutes a valid hit.
Low reported volume suggests limited liquidity and potentially wider spreads and slippage. With the close time not yet set, confirm the settlement window and resolution rules on KALSHI before placing trades, and factor in event timing, news risk, and your tolerance for rapid intraday moves.