| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,178.16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price target of $68,178.16 within a specified 15-minute observation period. It matters because short intraday moves can be driven by liquidity, news, and order-book dynamics, making these markets useful for traders and hedgers focused on high-frequency risk.
The contract references a single 15-minute interval and a specific price level rather than a daily or monthly close. Bitcoin has historically shown large intraday swings around tight time windows, so outcomes hinge on short-term liquidity, exchange reporting, and any coincident news or on-chain flows. The event is offered on KALSHI and will resolve according to the platform's stated data-feed and resolution rules.
Market odds reflect collective expectations about whether that price will be reached during the named 15-minute window; interpret them as the market's consensus view of the near-term path rather than a long-term forecast. Check the event description for the exact resolution feed and timing to align your analysis.
The '15 min' is the single contiguous 15-minute interval specified in the event rules; consult the event page for the precise start-and-end timestamps used for resolution.
Resolution follows KALSHI's published method: the outcome is determined by the price reported on the designated data feed or exchange reference during the 15-minute window as described in the event terms.
If the event rules state that any trade or quoted price meeting the target within the 15-minute observation window qualifies, then a brief touch counts; always confirm the exact qualifying condition on the event page.
Monitor order-book liquidity, large exchange deposits/withdrawals, scheduled macro or crypto announcements, and signs of on-chain large transfers or exchange maintenance that could alter short-term price dynamics.
KALSHI's resolution policy provides fallback and dispute procedures in such cases; the event may use an alternate feed, a delayed resolution, or other contingency methods detailed in the platform's official rules.