| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $68,000.61 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit a price target of $68,000.61 within a single 15-minute measurement interval. Short-interval price targets matter because they capture acute intraday volatility and the potential for rapid directional moves.
Bitcoin's price can move sharply on minute-by-minute news, large orders, or technical triggers; a 15-minute target isolates those very short-term dynamics. The listing on KALSHI frames the outcome around a specific price and time window rather than a daily or weekly range, so settlement depends on the exact measurement and source KALSHI uses for price data.
Market odds reflect traders' aggregated expectations about whether the target will be met in the specified 15-minute interval and update in real time as information arrives. For exact settlement definitions and timestamps, consult the market page and KALSHI's rulebook.
The market's settlement is tied to a specific 15-minute timestamp or set of timestamps as defined by KALSHI; the precise start and end times and how they align with clock time are specified on the market page and in KALSHI's rulebook.
KALSHI will use a designated price feed or index to determine the reference price during the 15-minute window; the market page and official documentation list the exact data source and methodology.
Whether a brief touch qualifies depends on the event's trigger language (for example, "reaches or exceeds"). Check the market description and settlement rules on KALSHI to confirm the qualifying condition.
A TBD close indicates KALSHI has not published a final closing or resolution window yet; monitor the market page for updates or consult KALSHI's announcements for the scheduled close or settlement timing.
High-impact catalysts include major economic releases or Fed commentary, large institutional order flow or ETF activity, exchange outages or liquidity shocks, and liquidation events in highly leveraged derivative positions; any of these can produce abrupt 15-minute moves.