| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $67,989.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the target price of $67,989.01 within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because very short-duration price moves are common in crypto and can create trading, hedging, and risk-management opportunities.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset; short timeframes can show rapid spikes or brief dislocations driven by order flow, news, or exchange-specific events. Markets like this isolate that short-window outcome so traders can express views on transient moves without exposure to longer-term trends.
Market odds reflect the aggregate willingness of participants to buy and sell contracts tied to this exact 15-minute outcome and update as new information arrives. They are a market consensus signal, not a guaranteed forecast, and can move quickly with news or large trades.
Resolution follows the contract’s specified price source and the defined 15-minute interval; consult the market description on KALSHI for whether a single trade, quoted price, or aggregated tick triggers a 'Yes' outcome and which timestamp conventions apply.
TBD means the platform has not published the closing timestamp yet; trading and settlement are governed by the posted open/close times once KALSHI updates the market page, so monitor the contract for the official schedule.
KALSHI specifies the reference exchange or aggregated feed in the contract details; that source’s quotes and timestamps determine resolution, so review the market’s reference data field before trading.
Sudden news shocks, large executed orders or liquidations, exchange outages or re-pricings, and fast-moving algorithmic strategies can all create brief price breaches that occur and reverse inside a 15-minute window.
High-frequency traders, market-making desks, derivatives desks executing liquidation or hedging activity, and news-driven speculators are the primary actors that can change odds rapidly through concentrated order flow.