| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $67,845.41 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price target $67,845.41 during a specified 15-minute interval. Short-interval targets matter because they capture brief price spikes or drops that reflect liquidity, news flow, and trader behavior.
Bitcoin is known for intraday volatility and can move sharply in short windows due to concentrated order flow, liquidations, or news. A 15-minute target isolates very short-term dynamics and is sensitive to exchange execution, spreads, and which reference price the market uses for settlement.
Market odds represent how traders are pricing the likelihood of the target being met given current information and liquidity; odds change as new information arrives. Always check the event page for the official settlement definition (which exchange/price and timestamp determine the outcome).
The precise settlement rule (e.g., any trade touching the level, the last trade at window close, or a time-weighted average) is specified on the event's official KALSHI page; consult that settlement definition to know which condition determines the outcome.
KALSHI lists the designated exchange(s) or index on the event page under settlement details; check the event terms or contact KALSHI support if the source is not visible.
Whether multiple touches matter depends on the settlement method: if any trade touching the level suffices, the first touch is enough; if settlement uses a closing or averaged price, repeated touches may be irrelevant—refer to the event's settlement rules.
KALSHI will update the event page with the scheduled window and close time once set; monitor the market page for updates, subscribe or follow the event, or check KALSHI notifications for timing announcements.
Yes—minute-level historical price data often shows short, sharp moves around news events, low-liquidity hours, or during large order activity; examine past 15-minute intervals at nearby price levels to gauge how frequently similar short-term targets were met and to assess liquidity and slippage risk.