| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $66,505.49 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will reach the target price of $66,505.49 within a specified 15-minute measurement window on KALSHI. Time-limited price-target markets matter for traders and hedgers looking to capture or protect against short, intraday moves.
Bitcoin exhibits frequent intraday volatility driven by macro news, exchange flows, and concentrated liquidity on major venues; targets of this size can be hit quickly around large orders or news events. KALSHI resolves markets using a defined reference price feed and settlement procedure, and this market is a single-outcome, short-duration contract that requires attention to timing and data-source details.
Market prices (odds) reflect the collective view of whether the target will be met during the 15-minute window and will change as new information, liquidity shifts, or scheduled events occur; interpret them as a dynamic consensus rather than a fixed prediction.
The exact 15-minute interval and its start time are specified in the market's settlement rules on KALSHI; the platform may publish a specific clock and timezone for the window, so check the market page for the official timing.
Resolution criteria are set in the contract terms—commonly a market resolves 'Yes' if the reference price meets or exceeds the stated target at any time during the 15-minute window, but you should confirm whether the contract requires a touch, a close, or another specific condition in the official rules.
'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not yet published the final trading cutoff; KALSHI typically announces the trading close before the measurement window and may lock trading shortly before settlement to reduce manipulation risk, so monitor the market page for the confirmed cutoff.
A reported zero volume indicates no matched trades so far; low or zero volume implies limited liquidity, which can lead to wider spreads and greater price swings when entering or exiting positions.
KALSHI's published settlement and dispute policies describe backup data feeds, alternate reference sources, and potential remedies (such as delayed settlement or voiding the market) if the primary feed fails or anomalous activity occurs; review those policies for specifics.