| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $65,853.58 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price target of $65,853.58 in relation to a 15‑minute measurement window. It matters because short intraday moves can reflect liquidity, leverage, and near‑term sentiment that affect traders and risk management.
The market is a single‑outcome event tied to Bitcoin spot pricing over a short intraday interval. Resolution depends on timestamps and the exchange or index feed KALSHI designates; the listed close time is TBD, so participants should monitor the platform for the official window and settlement rules. Short windows like 15 minutes amplify the relevance of order flow, exchange spreads, and transient liquidity events.
Market odds reflect the collective view of participants about whether the specified price condition will be met in the stated 15‑minute context and update as new information arrives. They are an informational snapshot, not a guarantee of future price behavior.
It designates a condition tied to Bitcoin's market price and a 15‑minute measurement period; the event resolves based on whether the price meets the specified target according to KALSHI's official settlement methodology, which defines the data feed and timestamp rules.
The market's close time and the specific 15‑minute window are listed as TBD on the event page; KALSHI will publish the exact start/end timestamps and any trading cutoff—check the platform for the official schedule.
Resolution follows the price source KALSHI specifies for this event (for example, a particular exchange or consolidated index); participants should consult the event's rule text on KALSHI to see the designated feed used for settlement.
Whether a brief spike counts depends on KALSHI's settlement definition (e.g., whether any trade quote within the 15‑minute window meeting the threshold is sufficient); refer to the event's resolution criteria to see how transient ticks are treated.
KALSHI's force‑majeure and resolution rules cover disruptions; in cases of outages or unusual market conditions they may postpone resolution, use alternate data sources, or apply special procedures—check the platform's rulebook for contingency protocols.