| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $646.29 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach the $646.29 price level at any point during a designated 15-minute interval. Short-window target markets matter because they isolate intraday volatility and event-driven spikes that longer windows can smooth out.
BNB is the native token of Binance’s ecosystem and its price is sensitive to exchange flows, protocol updates, token burns, broader crypto market trends, and regulatory developments. Historically BNB has shown episodes of sharp intraday moves tied to liquidity shifts, major announcements, and correlated moves in Bitcoin and large-cap altcoins.
Market odds reflect the aggregated expectations and willingness of traders to back the target outcome at the time they trade; they are a live market price, not a guaranteed forecast. Use those odds alongside on-chain data, order-book conditions, and news flow when forming a view.
A 'hit' means the reference price series used for settlement records BNB at or above $646.29 at any timestamp within the specified 15-minute interval. The platform's official resolution documentation defines the exact mechanics and tie-breakers.
The market is settled using the price source and methodology specified by the event creator on the platform; consult the market’s settlement rules on Kalshi to see which exchange(s) or aggregator are designated.
Boundary handling follows the platform’s timestamp and resolution rules: if the reference feed reports the price at a timestamp that falls inside the inclusive window, it typically counts. Refer to the market’s official settlement criteria for precise treatment of edge timestamps.
Short windows are more susceptible to transient spikes from large trades or thin liquidity; while robust settlement feeds mitigate some manipulation risk, short-interval targets inherently carry higher susceptibility to brief, non-sustained price moves—traders should factor this into their risk assessments.
Monitor real-time exchange charts and aggregated price feeds, watch order-book depth and recent trade prints, set alerts for rapid moves, and track news/announcements that could trigger volatility. Because the close time is TBD, plan to follow the platform’s notifications for the confirmed window and ensure your data sources align with the settlement feed specified by Kalshi.