| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $643.62 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will meet a $643.62 price condition within a specified 15‑minute observation period; it matters because short-duration price targets can be used to hedge or express views on immediate volatility in the BNB market.
BNB (Binance Coin) is a major cryptocurrency whose price is sensitive to exchange flow, tokenomics events (like burns), and broader crypto-market moves. Minute‑to‑minute markets like a 15‑minute target capture microstructure risks—order flow, liquidity, and news shocks—that longer-term markets smooth out. KALSHI hosts this conditional event and will resolve it according to its published rules and price feed.
Market odds reflect traders' aggregated beliefs about whether the specified price condition will be met during the 15‑minute window; interpret them as a real‑time consensus signal, not a guaranteed forecast.
It denotes a resolution condition tied to BNB reaching or being at $643.62 during a specific 15‑minute observation period defined by the market; the event resolves based on whether the condition is satisfied under KALSHI's resolution rules.
The market close and exact observation window are listed on the market page as TBD; check the KALSHI market details or announcements for the scheduled close and the precise timing of the 15‑minute snapshot.
Resolution follows KALSHI's rulebook: they use the specified reference price feed and defined timestamp rules to take the official snapshot for the 15‑minute period; consult the market rules for the exact exchange/index and timestamp method used.
Large exchange trades by whales, sudden liquidity withdrawals, exchange technical issues, or immediate breaking news (exchange announcements, regulatory actions, or macro surprises) are the primary drivers of short‑window price moves.
Plan for high intraday volatility and potential slippage: size positions relative to expected liquidity, use limit orders if you need price control, monitor the official price feed and KALSHI notices closely, and be aware of KALSHI's settlement and cancellation policies.