| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $643.43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach the $643.43 price level during a specified 15-minute measurement window on Kalshi. It matters because very short intraday moves are driven by liquidity and sudden events, making them relevant for short-term traders and volatility observers.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and its intraminute price behavior is heavily influenced by exchange liquidity, large trades, and news affecting the broader crypto market. Fifteen-minute resolution is much shorter than typical daily or hourly horizons, so outcomes are sensitive to single large orders, exchange-specific order books, and data-feed timing. The market resolves according to the reference price source and rules listed on the Kalshi market page.
Market prices reflect the collective trading demand for contracts tied to this specific 15-minute outcome and update in real time; they should be interpreted as a current snapshot of market sentiment rather than a guaranteed forecast.
It denotes the specific 15-minute measurement window during which Kalshi will check the reference price to determine if the target was reached; the market page lists the exact start and end timestamps and the time zone used for that interval.
Settlement follows the market's published resolution rules and the designated reference price source; those rules specify whether a trade print, quoted price, or aggregated feed is used to verify whether the target occurred within the interval.
That depends on the event's resolution details—some markets count any recorded print or quote at/above the target within the window, while others require specific data-source criteria and timestamp granularity; check the market's resolution clause for the exact requirement.
Watch live order books and recent minute-level candles on major BNB venues, large on-chain transfers to or from exchange wallets, derivatives open interest and liquidation indicators, and any scheduled announcements that could coincide with the window.
Kalshi's published settlement and dispute policy governs late corrections; the platform designates an official reference and outlines how post-event data revisions or disputes are resolved—consult the market page and platform rules for the precise procedure.