| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $639.81 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach a $639.81 price target within a defined 15-minute interval; it matters because short, price-specific event markets let traders express and hedge views about near-term volatility and microstructure around a precise level.
BNB is a liquid exchange-native cryptocurrency whose minute-to-minute price can be driven by order flow on major venues, Binance-specific announcements, and broader crypto market moves led by BTC and major altcoins. Short-interval targets like a 15-minute window are sensitive to intraday liquidity, exchange spreads, and one-off events (e.g., listings, outages, large block trades). This market is hosted on KALSHI, so settlement will follow the platform's stated data-source and rules.
Market odds here are the aggregate view of participants about whether the $639.81 threshold will be hit during the specified 15-minute window; they update in real time and incorporate new information, but always consult the event's official contract text for the final settlement definition.
The event's contract defines the settlement criterion (for example, last trade, bid/ask, or index price during the 15-minute window) and the price source; check the KALSHI event rules for the precise definition used to determine whether the target is met.
The closing time and the exact 15-minute interval are listed on the event page or in the contract text; because this market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the event page or KALSHI announcements for the scheduled settlement window.
KALSHI specifies an official price source or index in the event documentation—commonly a major exchange market or an aggregated index—so review the settlement details on the event page to see the designated feed and any tie-breaking rules.
If BNB typically moves more than the distance to $639.81 within 15-minute slices, that makes the target easier to touch; conversely, a history of tight ranges around the current price reduces the chance of crossing a specific threshold in such a short period.
Watch order-book depth and large visible orders near $639.81, exchange maintenance notices, sudden BTC-led directional moves, on-chain large transfers from whale addresses, and any Binance-specific news—each can quickly alter the probability that the target is hit within the 15-minute window.