| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $638.96 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach a price of $638.96 within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short, high-magnitude moves are important for traders and risk managers who focus on minute-level volatility in crypto markets.
BNB is Binance's native token and its short-term price is driven by exchange order flow, macro crypto moves, and Binance-specific developments (product updates, burns, listings, or regulatory news). Intraday crypto volatility can cause rapid spikes or drops, so a 15-minute target is testing the market's capacity for a short, discrete price move rather than a longer trend.
Market prices on this event summarize participants' expectations about the chance of that 15-minute price event occurring; when using those prices, focus on the event's defined measurement window and the designated price feed rather than treating them as long-term forecasts.
A 'hit' is determined by the market's specified settlement method: typically a trade or quoted price meeting or exceeding $638.96 on the designated price feed during the defined 15-minute measurement window. Consult the event page for the exact settlement definition (trade vs. midprice, rounding rules, and data source).
The start and end times for the 15-minute window are set by the event's schedule on the platform; because this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', check the event details for the final scheduled measurement interval and any timezone references before trading.
The event will use the exchange or reference price explicitly stated in its settlement rules on the event page — different feeds can produce different ticks, so verify the listed source to know which market's price movement matters for settlement.
Platform rules typically cover outages and force majeure: settlement may be delayed, an alternative feed may be used, or the contract could be voided if reliable price data are unavailable. Review the event's rulebook and dispute/exception procedures for the exact contingency plan.
That depends on the event's settlement definition: many markets count a qualifying trade or tick at or above the target within the window, so a very brief spike recorded on the designated feed can qualify; verify whether the contract requires a sustained price or a single trade/tick to resolve.