| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $638.21 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will hit the $638.21 price level within a specified 15-minute measurement window. Short-interval targets matter because they capture very short-term price behavior and can reflect immediate market sentiment or liquidity events.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and is traded across many spot and derivatives venues; its price can move rapidly on order-flow, news, or broader crypto market moves. A 15-minute target is a high-frequency proposition: outcomes are driven more by intraday liquidity, large orders, and short-term technical triggers than by longer-term fundamentals. Because the market closes and settles according to the contract's specific timing and reference feed, traders should consult the market rules for precise resolution mechanics.
Prediction market prices represent the aggregated beliefs of participants about whether the event will occur; they update as new information, order flow, and trader risk preferences change. Use those prices as a real-time signal of market consensus, not a guaranteed prediction.
The contract specifies a consecutive 15-minute interval used to check whether BNB reaches the target; the exact start and end times (or how they are chosen) are provided in the market's detailed rules on the platform—consult those rules for the definitive timing.
Resolution typically depends on recorded trades meeting or exceeding the target price on the reference price feed used by the market; quotes, bids, or canceled orders generally do not count—see the market's resolution criteria for the exact definition.
The market's contract lists the reference exchange(s) or aggregated feed that KALSHI will use for settlement; check the market details to see the specific sources and any fallback rules.
Market rules usually include contingency procedures (e.g., use of alternate feeds, delayed settlement, or cancellation) for outages or halts; resolution may be delayed or follow fallback data sources per the contract.
Generally, any recorded trade at or above the target within the specified 15-minute interval is sufficient for resolution regardless of duration, but confirm this by reading the market's exact settlement rules.