| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $638.14 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will hit the $638.14 price level during a specified 15-minute window; it matters because short, high-resolution events capture extreme intraday price moves that can be driven by liquidity, news, or order-flow spikes.
BNB is an exchange-native token with liquidity concentrated on major crypto venues and derivatives platforms; its intraday moves can be large relative to fiat-denominated assets because of concentrated order books and leverage in futures markets. Markets like this focus on a very short time horizon, so normal drivers of price (macro news, exchange announcements, liquidity changes, large limit or market orders) can have outsized impact.
Market odds are a live consensus from participants about the likelihood of the target being reached during that 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives and reflect both probability assessments and traders' risk preferences rather than a fixed true value.
It means the market will settle based on whether BNB trades at or above (or otherwise meets the market's defined condition) the $638.14 level at any time during a single contiguous 15-minute period specified by the market rules; check the event's rule text for the exact settlement condition (e.g., trade price vs. mid-price).
Resolution occurs after the designated 15-minute window has completed; the market operator (KALSHI) will announce or have predefined the start and end timestamps for that window in the event details or rulebook, and settlement follows those timestamps using the prescribed price feed.
The market's settlement will use the specific reference price feed or exchange(s) listed in its rules — commonly a consolidated exchange feed or named venue — so you must consult the event's settlement source on the platform to know which trades or quotes are authoritative.
An outage or halt on the reference venue can prevent price discovery or create anomalous ticks; most markets have contingencies in their rules (e.g., alternate sources, voiding the market, or using the last available price) so review the resolution rules to understand how such incidents are handled.
A single outcome indicates this event has one determinable settlement result (typically binary in practice: the target was met or it was not); traders should read the payout and settlement structure on the market page to see how a meeting vs. not meeting the target translates into final payouts.