| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $637.45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will hit the $637.45 level during a specific 15‑minute observation window. Short-window targets matter because they let traders express views on immediate, intraday price moves and capture sharp volatility events.
BNB is a major exchange-native crypto token that can move quickly in response to exchange flows, large trades, and platform-specific news. Fifteen‑minute target markets settle on a narrowly defined observation interval, so outcomes are driven more by order‑book events and short‑term liquidity than by longer-term fundamentals. Because the market closes and settles according to rules from the source platform (Kalshi), details like the official price feed and exact timestamping determine final resolution.
Prediction market prices reflect the crowd’s current assessment of the chance the event will resolve as specified; they can change rapidly as new information arrives. For this short-duration market, expect prices to be particularly sensitive to immediate news, exchange liquidity, and rapid order flows.
The market will resolve according to the settlement rules specified on the event page: generally, if the official price feed used by the contract records BNB at the specified target level during the defined 15‑minute observation period, the market is treated as having hit the target. Check the event’s settlement terms for the precise definition of 'hit' and whether equality or an exceedance is required.
This particular event’s close and the timing of its 15‑minute observation window are listed on the platform when finalized (Closes: TBD). Settlement happens after the designated observation window ends and the platform verifies the official price data; consult the event page or Kalshi notifications for the exact schedule once posted.
The event’s rules identify the official price source(s) used for settlement (for example, a specified spot exchange or an aggregated index). That information appears in the market’s contractual details on the platform—refer to those terms to see which venue or index will be authoritative for this market.
If the official settlement feed records the price at or above the target at any timestamp within the defined 15‑minute observation period per the market’s rules, that brief touch typically counts. Exact treatment of transient touches versus sustained levels is specified in the event’s settlement rules, so review those rules for confirmation.
If the primary data feed experiences outages or anomalies, the platform’s dispute and fallback procedures (listed in the event terms) apply. That may involve using a backup feed, an aggregate, or following a predefined arbitration process—check the event’s settlement policy for how Kalshi handles data integrity issues.