| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $637.24 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the price target of $637.24 within a specified 15-minute interval. Short, time-bound price targets matter to traders because they capture high-frequency volatility and liquidity dynamics that longer-term markets do not.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and its short-term price can move quickly in response to exchange flows, large orders, and ecosystem-specific news. Fifteen-minute targets are particularly sensitive to on-chain transfers to/from exchanges, concentrated orderbook activity, and sudden macro or sector moves that cascade through crypto markets.
Prediction market prices reflect the market consensus about whether that specific 15-minute price condition will be met; interpret them as a real-time aggregation of traders' views and available information rather than a guarantee of outcome. Because the event is time- and source-specific, check the market’s settlement rules for how price data are defined and aggregated.
Outcome criteria are determined by the market's official settlement rules on KALSHI; generally a 'hit' means the settlement price feed records BNB trading at or above $637.24 during the defined 15-minute window, but participants should consult the event details to confirm the precise definition and data sources.
Settlement normally uses the price feeds and exchange sources specified by KALSHI for this event; the market page or rulebook lists which exchanges, aggregates, or indices are authoritative for determining whether the target was reached.
A 'TBD' close indicates the organizer has not yet fixed the market’s trading cutoff or the 15-minute interval start; trading remains open until an official close time is posted, and the exact window will be set in the event details prior to settlement.
Yes — in short windows, single large trades, order-book imbalances, or exchange outages can materially affect whether the price reaches the target; settlement rules may address outliers or rely on consolidated feeds to mitigate isolated anomalies, so review those rules.
Watch real-time order books on the settlement exchanges, on-chain exchange inflows and outflows, Binance and industry news feeds for announcements, and broader crypto market momentum (especially BTC moves); set alerts for sudden volume spikes and large trades near the scheduled window.