| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $633.04 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will meet the $633.04 price condition during a specified 15-minute measurement interval on Kalshi. Short-window markets matter because they let traders express views on immediate price moves and liquidity events rather than longer-term fundamentals.
BNB is a major exchange-linked token whose price can move rapidly in response to exchange activity, token-specific announcements, and broader crypto market swings. Fifteen-minute target markets emphasize intraday volatility and order-flow dynamics: a single large trade, exchange outage, or news spike can determine the outcome in that short window.
Market prices on the market page summarize participants' collective expectations about whether the event condition will occur during that 15-minute window; treat them as a real-time aggregation of information and sentiment, not as guarantees.
It refers to a defined 15-minute measurement interval during which the market will check the specified price condition. The exact start and end times for that interval (and whether the interval is rolling or fixed) will be listed on the event page; note that this event currently shows a closing time of TBD, so check the event details for the scheduled interval.
Settlement will follow the event's specified rules on the platform, which typically name a particular price source or index and the method for determining whether the condition occurred. Always read the event's settlement clause on Kalshi to see whether it uses a single exchange trade, a composite index, an average, or another rule.
That depends on the settlement method specified for this event: if the rule counts any trade at or above the target during the interval, a brief touch could be sufficient; if the rule uses an averaged price or requires a maintained level, it may not count. Verify the exact criteria on the event page.
Whether spot or derivatives prices count depends on the named price source in the event's settlement rules; many short-window markets reference spot prices from specific centralized exchanges or a composite spot index, but you should confirm the source listed on this Kalshi event.
High-impact catalysts include large market orders or whale trades, exchange-level events (outages, maintenance, or listings), Binance or BNB-specific announcements (burns, policy changes), or sudden macro/crypto market news that triggers rapid volatility or cascade liquidations.