| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $631.15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach the $631.15 price level within a specific 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short, time-bound price targets capture transient liquidity and news-driven moves that can be distinct from longer-term trends.
BNB is a major exchange token whose price is sensitive to Binance-related announcements, overall crypto market momentum, and liquidity on large spot venues. Short-duration price targets like a 15-minute window can be driven by concentrated orders, intraday volatility, or minute-by-minute reaction to news rather than sustained fundamental changes.
Market prices for this event reflect traders’ collective expectations about whether that 15-minute window will include a trade at or above the target price; interpret changes in market prices as shifts in sentiment and new information arriving to the market.
The event resolves in favor of the outcome specified in the market rules if the BNB price meets the stated condition at any point or over the specified interval defined by the market (check the event’s resolution criteria on the KALSHI event page for the precise rule).
The start time and duration of the measurement window are defined in the market’s settlement rules on the event page; because the listed close time is TBD, consult the event details for the official timestamp that will anchor the 15-minute window.
The market’s event description or settlement rules specify the price source or composite feed used for resolution; check the KALSHI event page to see which exchange(s) or data providers are referenced and whether any fallback sources apply.
KALSHI’s market rules outline adjudication procedures for anomalous events—common options include using a fallback price source, pausing resolution until an official feed is available, or following a dispute/adjudication process; review those rules on the event page.
Watch order-book depth and recent trade prints on major exchanges, scheduled Binance or token-related announcements, broader crypto market momentum (especially Bitcoin), large wallet activity visible on-chain, and any regulatory headlines that could trigger fast moves.