| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $629.72 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the $629.72 price level during a specified 15-minute measurement window on KALSHI. Short-duration targets like this matter because they focus on high-frequency price moves and can reveal near-term volatility and order-flow dynamics.
BNB is a major exchange token whose price moves are influenced by spot trading, derivatives, and Binance-specific developments. Fifteen-minute target markets are a form of short-term event contract that capture whether a brief price excursion occurs, rather than longer-term trend bets; outcomes can be driven by concentrated orders, news, or broader crypto market swings. Historical instances of brief spikes or flash crashes in crypto show that short windows are especially sensitive to liquidity and single large trades.
Market odds reflect the collective market view of whether that exact $629.72 level will be touched or exceeded during the defined 15-minute interval and will update as new information arrives. Treat the market price as a real-time indicator of sentiment and risk, not as a guarantee of outcome.
It resolves on whether BNB reaches or exceeds the $629.72 price level during the defined 15-minute measurement window; the contract’s official rules specify whether the trigger is a trade price, quoted price, or another data point.
The platform sets a specific start time and measures a continuous 15-minute interval from that moment; since the event's close is listed as TBD, check the event page or official rules for the announced start time and any timezone conventions.
Settlement uses the pricing source defined in the contract terms—this may be a single exchange feed, a consolidated feed, or a KALSHI-specified reference; consult the event's settlement rules to see the exact data source and any tie-breaking procedures.
Many short-window contracts count any qualifying trade or quoted price at or above the threshold during the window, but exact treatment of fleeting ticks, quotes versus trades, and rounding rules is spelled out in the market’s resolution criteria.
Yes—large trades, outages, or anomalous ticks can affect whether the target is reached; trading platforms typically have settlement safeguards, definitions for abnormal data, and dispute procedures, so review the market’s invalidation, arbitration, and settlement policies.