| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $629.26 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will meet the $629.26 threshold within a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters because it lets traders express views on very short‑term BNB price action and exploit intraday volatility.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and trades across multiple centralized and decentralized venues, so short pulses in price can be driven by exchange order flows, large trades, or news. Very short‑duration contracts like this focus on minute‑scale moves and are sensitive to feed selection, timestamping, and liquidity. The contract is listed on KALSHI and will resolve according to the event’s settlement rules; the listed close time is currently TBD.
Market odds on this contract reflect the collective view of traders about whether the target will be met in the defined 15‑minute interval, but they can be noisy if liquidity is low. Use odds as one input alongside price feeds, order book depth, and event rules rather than as an absolute forecast.
It denotes the measurement window used to determine whether BNB reaches the $629.26 threshold; the contract’s settlement rules specify whether the market looks at a specific timestamp, any price during that 15‑minute interval, or an averaged value, so consult the event page for the precise definition.
Resolution is governed by the event’s official settlement rules on KALSHI, which identify the authoritative price feed(s), rounding conventions, and the condition (e.g., meets or exceeds the target) used to decide the outcome.
'Closes: TBD' means the market’s scheduled close or the measurement window time has not been published yet; traders should monitor the event page for updates and be cautious because an undefined close can affect trading availability and planning.
Zero or very low historical volume indicates limited liquidity, which can lead to wide spreads and higher execution risk; it does not alter how the contract resolves but makes prices more sensitive to individual trades.
KALSHI’s resolution policy and the event’s rules outline contingency procedures — common options include using an alternate feed, a composite of multiple feeds, or a delayed official timestamp; check the event rules for the exact fallback process.