| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $629.25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will hit a $629.25 price target within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because very short windows amplify intraday volatility and can be driven by discrete news, order flow, or exchange-level events.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and often moves on exchange-specific activity, token burns, product announcements, and broader crypto market sentiment. Short-interval bets like this test minute-level price dynamics rather than longer-term trend fundamentals. The market's close time is listed as TBD, so participants should watch the event page for the official window and settlement rules.
Market prices on KALSHI aggregate traders' beliefs about whether the condition will be met and update in real time as new information arrives. Treat the market price as a live consensus indicator, not a guarantee of outcome.
The official resolution follows KALSHI's published settlement rules for this event; generally a winning outcome requires the BNB price to meet or exceed $629.25 according to the specified price source and timestamping method during the 15-minute window. Always consult the event page for the precise definition of the price feed and resolution criteria.
The market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so the platform will publish the exact start and end times on the event page once scheduled; monitor that page and your account notifications for the confirmed window and timezone.
KALSHI's event page and contract terms state the price source used for settlement (for example a specific exchange or an aggregated index); check those contract details to see which feed and timestamping method apply to this market.
Whether a brief spike counts depends on the market's resolution rules—some contracts count any timestamped trade or quote at or above the threshold within the window, while others require a sustained or end-of-window price. Refer to the event's settlement specification for the exact rule.
High-impact catalysts include large market orders from whales, sudden exchange outages or maintenance, major Binance corporate announcements, unexpected regulatory news affecting crypto, and cascade effects from derivatives liquidations; low liquidity periods make these drivers more effective at producing rapid spikes.