| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $629.01 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the USD price of Binance Coin (BNB) will meet a $629.01 threshold within a specified 15‑minute observation period on Kalshi. Short, defined-duration markets matter because they isolate brief, high-impact moves that reflect immediate liquidity, news flow, and trader sentiment.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and has historically shown intraday volatility tied to exchange activity, regulatory news, and broader crypto market moves. This market currently shows Total Volume Traded: $0 and its official close/start times are listed as TBD on the event page — the contract will later specify the exact observation window and resolution mechanics. Traders should review the contract text for the authoritative definitions of price source, timing, and settlement.
Market odds on Kalshi represent the market-implied consensus of participants and update continuously as new information arrives; treat them as a real‑time aggregation of beliefs rather than fixed forecasts. Because odds change, always consult the live market before making trading decisions.
It denotes a binary-style event tied to BNB's USD price measured over a defined 15‑minute observation period with a $629.01 threshold; the contract text on the market page explains whether the condition is met by touching, exceeding, or being at/above the threshold and which minute(s) are observed.
The market page and contract will list the exact start time (UTC) for the 15‑minute window and the moment the market closes for trading; because the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the Kalshi event page or notifications for the scheduled window and any updates.
The contract specifies the authoritative price source (a specific exchange, an index, or a composite feed); check the 'Settlement Details' or 'Data Source' field on the event page to see which feed Kalshi will use for resolution.
Resolution for an exact match depends on the contract wording (e.g., 'at or above' vs. 'above'); consult the contract's resolution rules and any tie‑breaker language. If unclear, contact Kalshi support or review the official settlement FAQ for that market.
Watch live order books and large taker orders, exchange order flow and custody announcements, major on‑chain transfers or whale activity, correlated moves in BTC/ETH, and scheduled macro or industry news (e.g., regulatory statements, earnings, or derivatives expiries) that can amplify short-term volatility.