| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $628.10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach the $628.10 price level within a specified contiguous 15-minute interval defined by the contract. It matters because it isolates a short-term price move and lets traders express views on intraday volatility for BNB.
BNB is Binance's native token and its short-term price is influenced by exchange flows, on-chain activity, and broader cryptocurrency market moves led by BTC and major altcoins. Events tied to Binance (announcements, token burns, product launches), large on-chain transfers, and macro news can produce rapid 15-minute spikes or drops that determine outcomes in contracts like this.
Market odds on this contract represent the collective, up-to-the-minute view of participants about whether the target will be met in the specified 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives and should be interpreted as a dynamic market consensus, not a fixed forecast.
It denotes a contiguous 15-minute period during which the contract checks whether the settlement price condition is met; the event page and settlement rules will state how that window is anchored and timed.
The contract's settlement clause defines the price source and method (e.g., a particular exchange's trade price, an index, or an aggregated feed); consult the event description on KALSHI for the precise data source and measurement method.
The event currently shows 'Closes: TBD'; KALSHI will publish the official start and close timestamps on the event page and via platform notifications once scheduled.
Settlement will follow the contract's defined data rules (which may accept any trade that meets the threshold, use time-weighted averages, or apply an index); check those rules to understand whether brief ticks or sustained moves determine the outcome.
Monitor Binance announcements and maintenance notices, major on-chain transfers involving top wallets, order-book depth on the settlement venues, BTC and broader crypto price moves, and scheduled macro releases—any of these can cause the rapid price action that decides the contract.