| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $628.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the BNB price will meet a $628.08 target within a specified 15-minute interval on KALSHI. Short-duration targets matter because they capture intraday liquidity, order flow and reaction to immediate news.
BNB is the native token of Binance and often shows sharp short-term moves driven by exchange activity, large trades, or platform-specific announcements. Fifteen-minute markets focus on microstructure: how order books, liquidity providers and market news interact on very short horizons. Traders should note that resolution depends on the precise timestamp and price feed defined by the market rules.
Market odds aggregate participant expectations about whether BNB will hit the $628.08 level during that 15-minute window; they update in real time as new information and flows arrive. Use odds as a market-implied signal, not a guarantee—short-interval markets react quickly to liquidity and news.
Outcome is determined by whether the market’s resolution condition is met according to the price feed and timestamp defined in the market rules. That will specify whether any trade/quote touching the target during the 15-minute window counts or whether a specific timestamp/closing quote is used.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the contract’s resolution language: if the contract resolves on 'any time within the interval' then any touch recorded by the designated price feed usually counts; if it resolves to the closing price at a timestamp, a brief touch would not count. Check the market’s resolution rules to confirm.
KALSHI markets use the specific exchange or aggregated price feed listed on the market page for resolution. The exact feed or exchange that governs settlement is included in the market details—consult that field to know the authoritative source.
The market’s listed close time (currently TBD) determines when trading ends; typically a market closes shortly before the start of the resolution interval to prevent late trading during the event, but you should check the market page for the precise close timestamp.
Short-window targets face high slippage risk, wide spreads, and rapid information-driven moves; traders should account for order book depth, fees, potential feed discrepancies, and the possibility of rapid reversals or exchange outages that can affect execution and settlement.