| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $627.84 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will hit a price target of $627.84 within a 15-minute measurement window. Short-interval target markets matter because they isolate intraday volatility and can reveal immediate market sentiment or liquidity shocks.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and its price is sensitive to exchange operations, regulatory news, token supply events, and large on-chain transfers. Fifteen-minute target events are used to capture rapid moves driven by news, algorithmic trading, or concentrated order flows rather than longer-term fundamentals. Historical BNB volatility has often followed exchange announcements, listings, or macro crypto tail events.
Market prices here reflect the aggregate expectations of traders about whether BNB will meet the $627.84 target within the specified 15-minute measurement window; use those prices as a real-time signal of market-implied expectations, not a guarantee of outcome.
The official settlement data source and feed are defined in KALSHI's event rules; those rules specify which exchange(s) or aggregated feed will be authoritative. Check the event rulebook or event details on the platform to see the exact reference source used for this market.
The market's rulebook will state whether the measurement uses any rolling 15-minute span or specific fixed intervals. Because implementations vary, consult the event description or rule document to confirm how the 15-minute period is measured for this particular market.
Whether a single trade or a brief snapshot qualifies depends on the settlement definition in the event rules (e.g., trade-level thresholds versus averaged prices). Refer to the event's official settlement criteria to know whether isolated ticks count.
KALSHI's disruption and force-majeure policies govern such scenarios; possible actions include using an alternate data source, extending or shifting the measurement window, or voiding/adjusting settlement. The platform's published contingency procedures in the event rules explain how such cases are handled.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event header; monitor the event page for updates and consult the event description and rulebook for the finalized close and settlement schedule. Real-time market data and any rule updates will be published on the KALSHI event interface.