| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $627.69 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will trade at or above $627.69 during a designated 15-minute interval; it matters because short intraday price moves can determine the contract outcome and reflect market expectations about near-term volatility.
BNB (Binance Coin) often moves with broader cryptocurrency market trends and exchange-specific flows tied to Binance activity, token burns, listings, or regulatory news. Short timeframes like 15 minutes amplify the influence of order-book liquidity, high-frequency trading, and single large trades, making resolution sensitive to brief price dislocations.
Prediction market odds on this contract represent traders' collective view about the likelihood of that intraday price condition occurring and update in real time as new information arrives; they are market-implied signals, not guarantees of outcome.
The market resolves YES if, according to the contract's settlement rules, a qualifying trade at or above $627.69 is recorded during the designated 15-minute settlement window on the referenced data source; the event page lists the precise resolution criteria.
Kalshi uses the specific reference exchange(s) and time standard listed in the contract terms for this event; consult the event details on the Kalshi page to see which exchange feed and timestamping rules apply.
If the settlement rule counts actual trades and an eligible trade at or above $627.69 is recorded in the official feed within the window, that spike will typically count; if the contract uses an aggregated or averaged price, different criteria could apply—check the resolution methodology.
A large or coordinated trade can move short-term prices and affect the result; exchanges perform surveillance and Kalshi has dispute and investigation procedures described in its contract rules to address credible manipulation concerns.
The event page will show the market close and the precise settlement window or the method for determining it; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the Kalshi event page for updates and posted start/end timestamps before trading closes.