| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $627.61 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether BNB will reach the $627.61 price level within a specific 15‑minute measurement window. It matters because short, discrete time-window targets test intraday volatility and can be traded as event-driven bets on rapid price moves.
BNB (Binance Coin) is a major crypto token that can move quickly in response to exchange order flow, news, derivatives liquidations, and broader crypto market liquidity. Short-interval markets like a 15‑minute target capture high-frequency dynamics rather than longer-term trends, so outcomes reflect momentary price discovery rather than sustained directional conviction. The market is listed on KALSHI and will resolve according to the platform’s published rules for this event.
Prediction market prices represent the crowd’s consensus about whether the target will be hit during the specified 15‑minute interval; they update as new information and orders arrive. Use them as a real‑time, tradable summary of market expectations, not a guarantee of outcome.
Resolution is based on the market’s official settlement rule for this event; generally, a successful outcome occurs if the specified price threshold is met by the price feed or trades used by the market within the defined 15‑minute measurement window. Check the event’s official resolution specification on the KALSHI page for the precise definition.
The start and end timestamps of the 15‑minute window are set by the market listing on KALSHI and may be tied to a specific clock time or to a triggering event; because the event’s close is listed as TBD, the precise interval will be published by the platform before resolution.
The market will use the price source specified in its settlement rules (often an exchange or an aggregated index). The event page will list the authoritative feed—resolution follows that designated data source rather than every possible exchange.
Whether a transient touch counts depends on the market’s resolution criteria (e.g., trade prints versus mid‑price thresholds). Many short‑window markets count any verified trade meeting or exceeding the target during the interval, but you should confirm the exact rule on the event’s KALSHI details.
Large traders and market makers on Binance and other liquidity venues, derivative traders whose positions can trigger liquidations, and algorithmic/quant traders that operate at minute or sub‑minute frequencies are the primary actors capable of moving price through the target within a 15‑minute window.