| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $627.29 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the spot price of Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the $627.29 level within a defined 15-minute window. Short-duration target markets matter because they isolate immediate price moves driven by news, order flow, or liquidity shocks.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and often exhibits intraday volatility driven by exchange activity, token burns, macro crypto moves, and large trader flows. A 15-minute target is intended to capture whether a brief, discrete price move occurs rather than longer-term trends; outcomes are sensitive to on-exchange liquidity and the specific reference price used for settlement.
Market quotes on this event reflect the collective, continuously updated view of whether the $627.29 level will be reached in the 15-minute window; interpret prices as real-time market-implied assessments that change as new information, order flow, or technical issues arise.
The 15-minute window is defined by the market’s official start time and runs for 15 consecutive minutes from that timestamp; consult the event page or rulebook on KALSHI for the precise start time listed for this market.
The event’s resolution rules specify the designated reference price feed or exchange(s); check the event details on KALSHI for the named data source and any aggregation or tie-breaking procedures used for settlement.
Settlement follows the market’s definition of ‘reached’ as set in the official rules—typically a timestamped trade or quote at or above the target on the designated feed counts—but you should review the event’s explicit resolution criteria on the platform for the binding definition.
Most markets include fallback procedures such as alternative feeds, extended resolution windows, or delayed settlement; the specific contingency applied to this event is defined in the market’s resolution policy on KALSHI.
Look at recent intraday volatility, minute-level price charts, order book snapshots, and any recurring event-driven moves (e.g., announcements or large trades) to gauge how often similar short-term targets have been hit; remember that historical intraday patterns inform but do not determine future short-window outcomes.