| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $626.89 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the price of Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the $626.89 level within a specified 15-minute measurement period. Short, time-bound price targets matter to traders because they test immediate liquidity, order flow, and the market's reaction to news or events.
BNB is the native token of the Binance ecosystem and often moves with broader crypto market trends and exchange-specific developments. Intraday moves for BNB can be sharp due to concentrated liquidity on large exchanges, active derivatives markets, and occasional exchange- or token-specific announcements. Because this market is a 15-minute target, it focuses on very short-term drivers rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds on this page represent the collective market view at a given time and should be read as a snapshot of sentiment and perceived likelihood, not a guaranteed forecast. Low volume or thin liquidity can make those odds less reliable as a signal of true probability.
Resolution is based on the price feed and interval defined by the event rules on the KALSHI page; a 'hit' typically means the official reference price reaches or exceeds $626.89 at a time within the specified 15-minute measurement window. Always check the event's official resolution rules for the exact definition used.
The event page should list the exact 15-minute interval and the market close time; if the page shows 'Closes: TBD' that means the interval or final close time has not yet been set and will be posted by the operator before trading concludes.
KALSHI uses the price feed specified in the event's rules, which may be a particular exchange ticker (commonly Binance) or a consolidated index; consult the event's rule section to see the precise data source and timestamp methodology.
Rapid, concentrated buying (large market orders or coordinated buys), sudden exchange technical issues that shift orders across venues, headline-driven spikes, or cascade liquidations in derivatives markets are the principal mechanisms that can push price to a short-term target within 15 minutes.
Check current order book depth, recent trade sizes, and derivatives open interest: thin order books and low spot volume make it easier for a single large order to move price to the target, while deep, high-volume markets require much larger flows to drive the same move.