| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $626.77 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the price target of $626.77 within a specific 15-minute interval; it matters because short-interval price targets capture intraday volatility and trader expectations about immediate market moves.
BNB is a major exchange-native token whose price responds quickly to exchange-level order flow, announcements from Binance, and broader crypto market moves. Fifteen-minute target markets are ultra-short-term and tend to reflect microstructure events (large trades, liquidity shifts, exchange maintenance) as much as macro fundamentals. Resolution will rely on the data source and rules specified by the marketplace, so historical context and prior intraday volatility are useful but not determinative.
Market odds summarize participating traders' collective view about whether the target will be met in that 15-minute window and will change as new information arrives; for very short windows, odds can move rapidly and reflect order-book dynamics and incoming news.
The '15 min' label means the market checks whether BNB reaches the target price within a contiguous 15-minute observation window defined by the market rules; the exact start and end timestamps (and timezone) are set by the event contract or exchange and are specified in the market details or resolution policy.
The market's rulebook or the event's resolution specification names the authoritative data source (a specific exchange, an aggregated feed, or an index); consult the event details on the platform to see which feed or exchange is designated for settlement.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the resolution rules: some markets accept any recorded trade or quote meeting the threshold during the interval, while others require a trade at or above the target on the designated feed; check the event's definition of a qualifying price (trade vs. quote, last trade vs. bid/ask).
If the designated data source experiences outages, the market's contingency and dispute rules apply — that can include using backup feeds, extending the observation window, or applying manual adjudication per the platform's resolution policy; review the platform's emergency-resolution procedures for specifics.
Official resolution and settlement details will be posted on the marketplace (KALSHI) once the event closes and is adjudicated according to its rules; the event page and the platform's resolution history are the places to check for timestamps, the data excerpt used for settlement, and any post-resolution notes.