| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $625.36 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Binance Coin (BNB) will reach the $625.36 threshold within a specified 15-minute measurement window. Short-duration threshold markets matter because they capture rapid price moves and market microstructure events that longer horizons can miss.
BNB is a major cryptocurrency whose price moves are driven by exchange order flow, derivatives activity, macro crypto news, and Binance-specific developments. A 15-minute target isolates very short-term dynamics: large market orders, liquidations, or sudden news can produce threshold hits that would not appear in longer-period averages.
Odds on this market represent the market’s collective view about whether the $625.36 level will be reached during the contract’s defined 15-minute interval; they update in real time as new information (order flow, news, volatility) arrives.
The market resolves based on the contiguous 15-minute window defined in the event's settlement rules on the Kalshi page; consult that page for the exact start/stop alignment and time zone used for measurement.
Settlement uses the price source specified on the event page (e.g., a particular exchange, index, or data provider); you should check the market details to see which feed governs resolution.
That depends on the contract’s resolution rule—some markets count any trade or quote that reaches the threshold during the window, others use sampled or averaged values—so verify the exact settlement criteria on the event page.
The market's close and resolution timings are listed on the Kalshi event page; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check that page regularly for updated close/resolution timestamps before the settlement window begins.
Review past intraday price series to measure how often similar thresholds were reached in any 15-minute interval, examine recent intraday volatility, volume spikes, and correlation with major crypto moves to gauge how plausible a rapid crossing is.