| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 6% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 12% | 12¢ | 16¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 9% | 6¢ | 10¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 21% | 20¢ | 24¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| $57,999.99 or below | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 25% | 22¢ | 25¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 19% | 12¢ | 16¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 7% | 6¢ | 9¢ | — | $915 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $658 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $608 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $588 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $534 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $524 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $521 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $485 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $466 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $334 | Trade → |
| $77,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $331 | Trade → |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $329 | Trade → |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $329 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $327 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $224 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $202 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $197 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $168 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $104 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $34 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at 5:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026; it matters because it aggregates traders' views about the coin's value at a specific timestamp, providing a market-based signal about near-term expectations and risk.
Bitcoin is historically volatile and its price around any given timestamp reflects a mix of macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, institutional flows (including ETFs and custodial demand), on‑chain fundamentals, and market microstructure. Events such as economic data releases, major regulatory announcements, large over‑the‑counter trades, exchange outages, or shifts in derivatives positioning can all move price rapidly in the run‑up to the resolution time.
Market prices (odds) on this platform represent the aggregated trading interest in each discrete price interval for the specified timestamp; they update as new information arrives and should be read as the market consensus and degree of uncertainty rather than guarantees of outcome.
The market resolves using the Bitcoin price at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 9, 2026; the precise data source and settlement method are specified in the market's rules on KALSHI, so consult that rules page for the official price feed and dispute procedure.
This market contains 40 discrete outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a contiguous price interval, and the outcome whose interval contains the official settlement price at 5:00 PM EDT on March 9, 2026 will pay out.
Boundary handling is defined in the market's resolution rules (e.g., which endpoint is inclusive); check the event's rule text on KALSHI for the tie/boundary convention or contact platform support for clarification.
The market's stated close time is indicated on the platform (here: Closes: TBD); KALSHI may set or adjust trading windows according to platform policies, so monitor the market page for official trading hours and any announcements about early closure.
Material movers include major US economic releases or Fed commentary timed near resolution, surprise regulatory or legal announcements, large institutional or OTC trades, exchange outages or security incidents, and sudden shifts in derivatives positioning—any of which can produce rapid price moves up to the settlement moment.