| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,250 to 68,749.99 | 5% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| $65,750 to 66,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| $62,250 to 62,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| $68,750 to 69,249.99 | 5% | 5¢ | 7¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| $73,250 to 73,749.99 | 4% | 4¢ | 7¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| $64,250 to 64,749.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| $70,750 to 71,249.99 | 12% | 11¢ | 12¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $64,750 to 65,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| $67,250 to 67,749.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $71,750 to 72,249.99 | 7% | 8¢ | 12¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $67,750 to 68,249.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $69,750 to 70,249.99 | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $72,750 to 73,249.99 | 3% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| $79,250 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $69,250 to 69,749.99 | 8% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| $70,250 to 70,749.99 | 11% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $66,250 to 66,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $72,250 to 72,749.99 | 5% | 5¢ | 8¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $66,750 to 67,249.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| $65,250 to 65,749.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $71,250 to 71,749.99 | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $73,750 to 74,249.99 | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| $63,750 to 64,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $74,250 to 74,749.99 | 5% | 2¢ | 4¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $55,249.99 or below | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| $77,250 to 77,749.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $62,750 to 63,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $74,750 to 75,249.99 | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $78,750 to 79,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| $76,250 to 76,749.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $77,750 to 78,249.99 | 3% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $63,250 to 63,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $75,250 to 75,749.99 | 4% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $78,250 to 78,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $75,750 to 76,249.99 | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $55,250 to 55,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $60,250 to 60,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $930 | Trade → |
| $61,250 to 61,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $837 | Trade → |
| $59,750 to 60,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $760 | Trade → |
| $76,750 to 77,249.99 | 4% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $685 | Trade → |
| $60,750 to 61,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $682 | Trade → |
| $56,250 to 56,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $520 | Trade → |
| $61,750 to 62,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $370 | Trade → |
| $55,750 to 56,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $363 | Trade → |
| $57,750 to 58,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $72 | Trade → |
| $57,250 to 57,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $41 | Trade → |
| $59,250 to 59,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| $56,750 to 57,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| $58,750 to 59,249.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| $58,250 to 58,749.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range Bitcoin will be in at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 6, 2026; it matters because it lets traders and observers express views about short‑term price positioning at a specific timestamp. Markets like this consolidate diverse information — macro news, on‑chain signals, and order‑flow expectations — into tradable outcomes.
Bitcoin remains a highly liquid but volatile asset whose short‑term price depends on macroeconomic developments, regulatory announcements, and crypto‑specific events (for example, ETF flows, exchange outages, or large on‑chain transfers). Since this contract offers 50 discrete ranges, participants can take granular views about where spot price will sit at the specified settlement time. Historical context — prior volatility around macro events and liquidity cycles — is useful when weighing which ranges are plausible.
Market prices for each outcome reflect the collective assessment of participants about that outcome becoming the settled range; these prices move as new information arrives and as traders hedge or speculate. Use the market prices as a dynamic signal, not a precise prediction: they summarize demand and risk preferences at any moment.
It refers to Eastern Standard Time at 17:00:00 on March 6, 2026 (US EST is UTC‑5 on that date); the contract will use the precise second defined in the event terms, so confirm the exact settlement timestamp on the event page.
The event page lists all outcome labels and their exact numeric boundaries; ranges are typically contiguous and non‑overlapping and the details specify whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive—always check the published boundaries before trading.
The contract terms specify the reference price provider and any fallback sources; consult the event's official rule text on the platform to see the designated exchange/index used for settlement.
The event’s rules state how boundaries are treated (for example, lower bound inclusive and upper bound exclusive); that tie‑breaking rule is in the event details and determines which outcome wins in a boundary case.
'Closes: TBD' means the final trading cutoff hasn’t been announced yet; the event page will show the open/close window once set. New positions are accepted only while the market is open; after the published close time no additional trades can be placed and the market proceeds to settlement.