| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 6% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 8% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 10% | 6¢ | 11¢ | — | $847 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 8% | 8¢ | 13¢ | — | $543 | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $251 | Trade → |
| $61,999.99 or below | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $148 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 11% | 11¢ | 12¢ | — | $148 | Trade → |
| $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $86 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 10% | 4¢ | 9¢ | — | $84 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 6¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,500 to 80,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,500 to 78,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,500 to 79,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 0% | 3¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $81,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $80,000 to 80,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $79,000 to 79,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 0% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 2¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 5¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 0% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 4¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which predefined price range Bitcoin will fall into at 5:00 PM EST on March 5, 2026. It matters because it lets traders express views or hedge exposure on the market's expectation for Bitcoin at a specific timestamp.
Bitcoin's price reflects a mix of macroeconomic conditions, liquidity on spot and derivatives venues, regulatory developments, and on‑chain flows; historical trading has been volatile around major news and liquidity events. This market is structured into 40 discrete outcomes (price bands) so participants can take positions on a narrow range of possible settlement prices.
Prediction market odds represent the prices participants are willing to buy and sell each outcome for and thus show a market-implied expectation at any moment; they update as new information arrives and are not guarantees of a future price.
The winning outcome is the price band that contains the official settlement price as defined by the market's rules. That settlement price is taken from the pre-specified reference rate or index at the stated timestamp and applied to the listed bands.
Each of the 40 outcomes corresponds to a contiguous price band shown in the market description. The exact numeric boundaries for every band are published on the event page; the outcome whose band contains the official settlement price is the winner.
The listed close time for trading is currently TBD. Resolution will occur after the settlement price at 5:00 PM EST on March 5, 2026 is observed and verified according to the platform's settlement procedures; the platform will post a final settlement announcement once complete.
Current volume gives a snapshot of liquidity: higher traded volume generally means tighter spreads and stronger price discovery, while modest volume can imply wider spreads and higher impact for large orders. Volume can change rapidly as news or participants enter the market.
The market's rulebook defines contingency procedures for data outages, market disruptions, or forks; possible measures include using an alternate reference source, a defined fallback window, or invoking dispute resolution. Consult the event's official rules for the specific fallback hierarchy and timelines.