| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 7% | 9¢ | 11¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $65,500 to 65,999.99 | 2% | 2¢ | 6¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $67,500 to 67,999.99 | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 6% | 6¢ | 10¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| $76,000 or above | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $984 | Trade → |
| $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 14% | 12¢ | 14¢ | — | $927 | Trade → |
| $67,000 to 67,499.99 | 5% | 6¢ | 10¢ | — | $828 | Trade → |
| $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 4% | 6¢ | 7¢ | — | $611 | Trade → |
| $66,000 to 66,499.99 | 7% | 3¢ | 6¢ | — | $363 | Trade → |
| $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 10% | 10¢ | 12¢ | — | $247 | Trade → |
| $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $139 | Trade → |
| $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 1% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $106 | Trade → |
| $66,500 to 66,999.99 | 9% | 4¢ | 8¢ | — | $105 | Trade → |
| $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | — | $92 | Trade → |
| $57,000 to 57,499.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $42 | Trade → |
| $57,500 to 57,999.99 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $36 | Trade → |
| $65,000 to 65,499.99 | 5% | 1¢ | 5¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| $64,500 to 64,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,000 to 59,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $56,999.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,000 to 58,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $64,000 to 64,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,500 to 63,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $59,500 to 59,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,000 to 60,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,500 to 61,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,000 to 62,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $62,500 to 62,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $63,000 to 63,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $60,500 to 60,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $61,000 to 61,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $58,500 to 58,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which discrete price range Bitcoin will be in at 5:00 PM Eastern on March 4, 2026; it matters because it aggregates trader expectations about Bitcoin’s value at a specific timestamp and can signal how participants anticipate near-term drivers to play out.
Bitcoin price outcomes reflect a mix of crypto‑specific dynamics (on‑chain flows, exchange liquidity, derivatives positioning) and broader macro conditions (interest rates, dollar strength, risk sentiment). Since the 2024 halving and growing institutional participation, event‑driven volatility and regulatory developments have become especially important to price formation.
Market odds and quoted prices on this market represent the aggregation of participant beliefs about which price bucket will contain the settlement price; they update as new information arrives and are best used as relative indications of sentiment rather than precise forecasts.
The settlement reference time is 5:00 PM Eastern on March 4, 2026; consult the market’s settlement rules on KALSHI for any allowance for reporting delays or clarifications about time zone labeling.
The market’s page or rulebook on KALSHI specifies the authoritative price source or composite index used for settlement; if the data source is not listed there, contact KALSHI support for the exact feed.
Each of the 40 outcomes corresponds to a defined price range (a bucket); the winning outcome is the bucket that contains the settlement price according to the market’s stated inclusivity and rounding rules, which are detailed on the market page.
The market’s close time is shown as TBD; some markets close trading before settlement for operational or risk reasons, so check the market page for the official close timestamp and any updates from KALSHI.
With 40 discrete buckets and modest total volume, liquidity may be thin and prices in individual buckets can move sharply on relatively small trades; use order book depth and recent trade sizes on the KALSHI market page to assess how robust the market’s price signals are.